Allan Lichtman 2024 Prediction. The keys to the white house, crafted by allan lichtman, operates on the theory of retrospective voting. Allan lichtman, the presidential election prognosticator who has successfully predicted the last nine out of 10 white house races, has made his preliminary projection for the november contest:.
This means that the american electorate selects a president based not on campaign events, but on the performance of the party in control of the white house. History professor allan lichtman holds that his formula has accurately called every presidential election since 1984.
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